Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Option Trading Risk Free Strategy - Long Straddle

So before you dig in you need to understand Long Straddle strategy. Here is the definition of Long Straddle.

A long straddle is a combination of buying a call and buying a put, both with the same strike price and expiration. Together, they produce a position that should profit if the stock makes a big move either up or down.

Ok so if you have read and understand above line you may have got little or complete idea about what strategy we are going to use.

Let's take an example.

Nifty Spot is trading around 7300 Spot
7300 March CALL  is trading around Rs. 167
7300 March PUT is trading around Rs. 124.

What we need to do is we need to buy both CALL and PUT at the same time. Market will move either direction and in this case either CALL will rise or PUT will rise depending upon market will go.

BREAKEVEN = 167 + 124 = 291.

We can get rewarded if one of the call go beyond 291 which will likely to be happen if market will rise 100-200 points in same direction. Or total value of CALL + PUT strike price will be grater than 291 we are in profit.

I suggest to use this strategy before 10th of each month. As you may already know that as we move towards expiry the overall value of CALL/PUT will start decreasing.

Happy Trading!!! 

Sunday, February 7, 2016

NSE Stock Idea for 02-FEB-2016

Go long on stocks below


  1. GSFC (Buy above 67, Stop loss 66.2)
  2. ROLTA (Buy above 79, Stop loss 77)
  3. ARVIND (Buy above 285.3, Stop loss 280)
  4. MASTEK (Buy above 131, Stop loss 128)

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Nifty Day Trading Using RSI

When you day trade you need to put your sentiments aside. So to do so you need to find most probable trade and that could be possible only using technical indicator. Now the question is "which technical indicator to choose?". I normally trade using RSI and Candlestick 2 Min. Chart on Nifty Index. I mostly trade options and according to my strategy RSI is best fit to find most probable trade. Keep in mind that no indicator is perfect so you just need to maintain your win/loss ratio around 60% and that would be good enough. Even if you achieve 50% w/l ratio that would also take you in the profit zone. 

Now, what about stop loss? Of course, to protect your losses you need to and you have to maintain strict stop loss. It's completely up to you but when I trade options I put 5 rupee stop and profit if I get 10 rupees move.  

Now have a look at chart below.

Nifty Day Trading using RSI


In the chart I have drawn 2 green circles. 1 in the candlestick chart and another circle in RSI indicator. To read single you first have to see that whether RSI is in overbought/oversold position. I normally prefer to trade when RSI go above 80/85 and below 20 for sell and buy respectively. Now, wait for the signal being generated in candlestick chart. If signal already been generated before few minutes then initiate trade and  trail your stop loss when you enter in profit zone. 

Thursday, January 21, 2016

7 Steps To Find Multibagger Stock

Finding multibagger stock is an art which great investors know and new investor should learn. In this blog post I am going to explain how you can find multibagger stock that could double triple your money over the period of time. It's long term bet and your patience will be tested. Sometimes if you are lucky your stock will double in no time but if you are LUCKY. 

To find multibagger stock you need to check health of company and how company will perform over the period of time. This you can do by it's balance sheet and to predict future by looking at their product or services. Also we can predict company's future by looking at company's past few years performance.

So now the question is "how to check health of the company?". Believe me it's simple and ANYBODY can do this. You won't require any degree for this it's that simple. We will understand this by taking example of any stock so that you will not get bored by terminologies and it will be easier for you to understand as well.

I am going to take example of "SuperHouse" scrip which is listed in NSE and BSE.

BSE Code: 523283
NSE Code: SUPERHOUSE

To see stock quote and different parameters value talked in the below section please refer
http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/leather-products/superhouse/SL

There are different parameters of company health which we will check for this company and you can apply this same method to evaluate quality of any company.

#1 EPS (Earnings Per Share)

Earnings per share is how company is performing. What company is earning per share. If you look at the below formula then you will realize the importance of this parameter.

Formula:
(Net Profit - Dividend) / Number of Share

If you do little math then you will realize that higher the net profit better the EPS. So buy stock which has higher EPS. Our example scrip SUPERHOUSE has EPS of Rs.22.82 (source:moneycontrol.com)

#2 PE Ratio (Price/Earning)

Till now you have learnt EPS but how would you know whether the current stock price justifies the EPS or not. That we can find using PE Ratio. Using PE ratio we can find whether the stock is already at it's best price or it has potential to go up further. PE Ratio is also a simple formula like EPS.

Formula:
Stock Price / EPS

Isn't it simple? Low PE better script, high PE meaning it's already at it's fair value.

Our example scrip is trading at PE of 7.08. I would consider any scrip which is trading below 10 should have potential to touch PE of 10 or higher.

Basically the idea is go for low PE stocks.


#3 Industry PE


So far you understood 2 most important parameters which are heart of analyzing fundamental of any company. Now you also need to understand where this company is standing in overall sector. For example SUPERHOUSE falls into Leather Product sector so we need to see whether overall sector is performing well or not and if yes then is this company has potential to outperform.

SUPERHOUSE is trading at PE of 7.08 but overall industry PE is 28.5 so there are fair chances that this scrip will perform better and has potential to go up. High industry PE also denotes that this sector has potential to go up.

This is also a important factor because in many other sectors you will find lot of cheap stock(low PE) but you also need to understand that whether overall sector is performing well or not.


#4 Last 5 Years Earnings


This parameter will show how robust is the company's management and business model. You don't need to understand balance sheet of the company entirely just focus on net profit figure. Basically in this parameter we will identify those companies which are performing better over the period of time. I normally see 5 years earnings to see the growth potential company is having and will have in the future. In this parameter go for the company which has not made any losses in net profit and also profit increased year on year. This parameter is important because this will filter out lot of scrips from your list and only gems will remain.


#5 Book Value


Book value is accounting value of any company. For now just understand that book value is the value of each share considering asset and depreciation and as I said it's accounting value so ideally stock price should be above this price from company's perspective.

Applying all of the above filters if you find any stock trading below book value then it's good buy.

In case of SUPERHOUSE stock the book value is Rs.193 so this stock should have it's price around/above Rs. 193 ideally.


#6 Market Capital


In simple words Market capital is multiplication of total number of shares and stock price. That is the reason why market cap keeps changing on stock price movement. I give very low weightage on this parameter because I believe in company quality not market cap. Infosys was not trading at same market cap as today, when it was listed in the 1993.


#7 News About Company


Before you buy you need to look at company news. You can easily find such news on google. Just check if any bad news about company in recent time.

So, these are the 7 steps using which you can find multibagger stock in any market. Once you apply all of the above methods in stock finding your investment will become safe and money will grow over a period of time. Once again let me remind you that don't invest all of your money in single shot, instead invest partly. If you prefer SIP that would be great.

Monday, January 18, 2016

What to do next in stock market?

Stock market is breaking new lows every day and in a way it's bleeding. So the important question is what to do next in stock market? I would not see any level where this fall will stop exactly but what I would know based on experience is that start buying fundamentally strong shares which are trading at low PE. In the coming posts I will also share some of the fundamentally strong stocks but for now you do research on low PE stocks and start adding those stocks on your portfolio. Believe me friends, you will earn more than 20%(conservative approach) in very short term which is much higher than any other investment options. 

Just look at some of the cool stocks
1. Super house
2. Usher Agro

Invest in such kind of stock but let me tell you one more thing. Don't invest your 100% in single buy instead invest in part. For now you can surely invest your 25% and then 15% parts will be good enough. 

If you are day trader then shorting on every high will be the best option. I hope you are doing so because market is very volatile and there are great chances that your stop loss hit in very short time but still strict with your stop and trail your stop once you reach in profit. Experienced traders do so and I know you are once of those.